The Iranian regime once harbored grand imperial ambitions in Syria, aiming to transform the war-torn country into a lucrative satellite state and economic empire, according to a groundbreaking investigation by Reuters based on secret embassy documents uncovered in Damascus. This article delves into the details of Iran’s strategy, its investments, the challenges it faced, and why ultimately these ambitions collapsed following the fall of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.
The Vision: A “Marshall Plan” for Syria
Iran’s plan for Syria was modeled explicitly after the United States’ famed Marshall Plan, which rebuilt Europe after World War II and secured American global dominance by creating economic and political dependence. A 33-page official Iranian policy study, dated May 2022 and authored by an Iranian economic-policy unit based in Syria, described Syria as a “$400 billion opportunity” and envisioned a comprehensive reconstruction program to rebuild infrastructure, deepen economic ties, and expand Iran’s influence over its key regional ally.
The Iranian study referenced the U.S. Marshall Plan multiple times, admiring how it created “economic, political and socio-cultural dependence” on America, a blueprint Tehran sought to replicate in the Middle East through Syria.
The Scale and Scope of Investments
Iran invested billions of dollars in Syria over many years, including before and during the Syrian civil war, with projects spanning power plants, oil extraction, infrastructure, religious sites, factories, and military installations. Notable projects included:
A €411 million power plant in Latakia on the Syrian coast, built by Iran’s Mapna Group, which remains idle and unfinished due to financial and operational difficulties.
An oil extraction project in Syria’s eastern desert, now abandoned.
A $26 million rail bridge over the Euphrates River constructed by an Iranian charity linked to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, which collapsed under a U.S. coalition airstrike and was never repaired or fully paid for.
Iran’s investments were part of a broader economic footprint that included at least 40 documented projects found among the looted embassy files, representing only a fraction of the total. Outstanding debts owed by Syria to Iranian companies were at least $178 million near the war’s end, while some Iranian lawmakers estimate Syria’s total debt to Iran exceeds $30 billion.
Challenges and Obstacles
Despite its ambitions, Iran’s reconstruction efforts faced severe challenges:
Security threats: Militant attacks and ongoing conflict disrupted projects and endangered personnel. For example, Iranian engineers were kidnapped and killed early in the war.
Local corruption and bureaucracy: Syrian subcontractors linked to the Assad family and widespread corruption hampered progress and inflated costs. The Latakia power plant suffered from underqualified workers and delayed payments.
Western sanctions and military actions: U.S. and coalition sanctions and airstrikes targeted Iranian-backed projects and infrastructure, including the destruction of the Euphrates rail bridge.
Economic instability: Currency fluctuations and payment delays between Syrian and Iranian entities undermined financial viability.
These factors, combined with the collapse of Assad’s regime, led to the abandonment or stalling of many projects.
The Fall of Assad and the Collapse of Iran’s Plans
In December 2024, rebels hostile to Iran’s influence overthrew President Bashar al-Assad, who fled to Russia. Iran’s paramilitary forces, diplomats, and companies hastily withdrew from Syria. The Iranian embassy in Damascus was ransacked by Syrians celebrating Assad’s fall, leaving behind a trove of documents that revealed the extent and failure of Iran’s imperial ambitions.
The new Syrian government, led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a former rebel group that fought Assad and his Iranian backers, has shown little interest in honoring Iran’s financial claims or continuing its projects. The new president, Ahmed al-Sharaa, acknowledged the deep wounds caused by Iran’s involvement and the long road to recovery for Syria.
Broader Geopolitical Context
Iran’s Syria strategy was part of its broader regional policy to build an “Axis of Resistance” against Israel and Western influence, linking Syria with Hezbollah in Lebanon and other proxies. The civil war and Iran’s intervention deepened sectarian divisions within Syria, complicating reconstruction and governance.
The failure of Iran’s plan comes at a precarious time for Tehran, which faces increasing pressure from Israel, the U.S., and regional rivals like Turkey. The loss of Syria undermines Iran’s strategic position in the Levant and diminishes its ability to project power.
Conclusion
Iran’s attempt to replicate America’s Marshall Plan in Syria was an ambitious but ultimately failed imperial project. Despite billions invested and decades of political and military involvement, Iran’s vision of a Syrian economic empire collapsed with Assad’s fall. The looted embassy documents uncovered by Reuters provide a rare and detailed glimpse into the scale of Iran’s economic footprint in Syria and the multifaceted reasons for its failure-security challenges, corruption, sanctions, and regime change.
For Syria, the departure of Iranian influence marks a new chapter but also leaves a legacy of debt, unfinished projects, and social wounds that will take years to heal.
This comprehensive overview is based on the investigative report and documents revealed by Reuters on May 1, 2025.
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